Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.236388 1.463539 1.701147 1.966654 2.253558 2.552871 2.887394
2025-01-05 0.896935 1.210951 1.561209 1.973907 2.440595 2.946491 3.531137
2025-01-12 0.691469 1.038839 1.446010 1.944205 2.524848 3.169622 3.929864
2025-01-19 0.599485 0.984523 1.454114 2.045189 2.749146 3.543949 4.493756
2025-01-26 0.535106 0.951539 1.477103 2.154173 2.974448 3.912488 5.044850
2025-02-02 0.488541 0.934009 1.513462 2.274755 3.210094 4.290740 5.605697
2025-02-09 0.457229 0.931876 1.565504 2.411600 3.462961 4.687566 6.187024
2025-02-16 0.409588 0.899804 1.573853 2.490141 3.642648 4.996650 6.665388
2025-02-23 0.350369 0.842563 1.543061 2.514521 3.752734 5.220884 7.042826
2025-03-02 0.268527 0.737604 1.438335 2.436376 3.730473 5.282891 7.226071
2025-03-09 0.196508 0.635049 1.327735 2.343140 3.683479 5.310560 7.364817
2025-03-16 0.149113 0.565869 1.259027 2.300854 3.696821 5.408004 7.583535
2025-03-23 0.121023 0.531055 1.243625 2.336368 3.817783 5.647316 7.985618
2025-03-30 0.092318 0.487580 1.211432 2.346976 3.906343 5.847768 8.343136
2025-04-06 0.062851 0.430775 1.151492 2.313415 3.933098 5.968346 8.601071
2025-04-13 0.056979 0.434018 1.191531 2.424750 4.152842 6.331242 9.155304
2025-04-20 0.052716 0.440721 1.237160 2.544240 4.383679 6.708447 9.727585
2025-04-27 0.050245 0.452273 1.291177 2.676313 4.631821 7.108027 10.328035
2025-05-04 0.049826 0.470283 1.356720 2.825821 4.903926 7.538461 10.967088
2025-05-11 0.042976 0.464773 1.379713 2.911494 5.089673 7.859756 11.472453
2025-05-18 0.031883 0.438941 1.364138 2.938064 5.194515 8.078044 11.850956
2025-05-25 0.015841 0.377542 1.277335 2.852859 5.144213 8.096950 11.982054
2025-06-01 0.005225 0.316471 1.183144 2.751065 5.067315 8.079001 12.065162